A company used a decision rule to determine production level in t – the period, as under:
Pt = Pt-1 + [A(Ft - Pt – 10]
Where Pt, Ft denote production and forecast for t – the period and A is smoothing constant.
a) Given the information in the table below, find the appropriate production level for period 2 using a smoothing constant of 0.5:
Period t
|
Production level
|
Forecast
|
1
2
3
|
36000
|
42000
48000
|
b) Assuming that actual production for period 2 will be equal to the value as determined in case (1) above, determine the production levels for period 3 using (A) chase (B) level and (C) intermediate strategies.