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A company used a decision rule to determine production level in t – the period, as under:

Pt = Pt-1 + [A(Ft - Pt – 10]

Where Pt, Ft denote production and forecast for t – the period and A is smoothing constant.

a) Given the information in the table below, find the appropriate production level for period 2 using a smoothing constant of 0.5:

Period t

Production level

Forecast

1

2

3

36000

 

42000

48000

 

b) Assuming that actual production for period 2 will be equal to the value as determined in case (1) above, determine the production levels for period 3 using (A) chase (B) level and (C) intermediate strategies.

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